English to Spanish Social Sciences Mathematics & Statistics Social Science

Hola, colegas:

Incluso en inglés, el uso de esta expresión es bastante controvertido. Aparentemente se originó en estudios de población realizados en África. Ojalá puedan ayudarme a encontrar un buen equivalente en castellano. El contexto en que aparece es el siguiente:

Young people represent an enormous potential resource for most developing countries. Their educational achievement, the skills they develop and the decisions they make about sexual behaviour and childbearing have profound effects, not only on their own lives, but on the lives of generations to come. ***The “youth bulge”,*** which is often blamed for the difficulties in reaping benefits from the demographic bonus, is more appropriately interpreted as a “childhood trough”. Its real policy significance consists not in that young people are increasing as a proportion of the potential labour force, but in that they are increasing relative to the group under age 15. Thus societal resources previously targeted to young children increasingly need to be redirected to adolescents and young adults. When computed as a percentage of the 15-64 bracket, the 15-24 age group in most countries is declining. Its problems call for a more detailed inspection nonetheless. Taking advantage of the next 15 years in order to invest in young people may be one of the crucial decisions deriving from current demographic trends in many countries, particularly those where the demographic transition is in an intermediate or advanced stage.

NOTA: Copié y pegué el párrafo. Las comillas no son mías.

Gracias desde ya por su ayuda.