English to German Bus/Financial Economics Prognosen

Ich habe hier eine wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Studie, die sich mit Marktprognosen anhand von Stimmungen der Marktakteure befasst. Dabei ist mir unklar, wie ich predict positively bzw. negatively verstehen soll. Bedeutet das, das keine Voraussagbarkeit anhand der dispersion of beliefs (DOB) besteht?

When we define the dispersion of beliefs of our agents, we observe that they are related to current and future economic conditions. We observe that DOB(S&P500) works at intermediate horizon, while DOB(VIX) effect is rather long-run. A high level of dispersion of beliefs regarding market ***negatively predicts*** market returns at around annual horizon, and positively (due to lower market valuation) – dividend yield. DOB(VIX) has no short-term predictability for the market, but ***predicts it positively*** for the long horizons (18 months and beyond). Market DOB ***negatively predicts*** industrial production (mostly beyond one year horizon) and economic activity (six to 17 months) with borderline significance. DOB(VIX), ***positively predicts*** industrial production for longer horizons and has mostly insignificant (though positive) relation to economic activity. Thus, even though contemporaneously both DOB variables are positively correlated, they possess quite distinct relation to the future economy: DOB(S&P500) has medium-term negative predictability, while DOB(VIX) shows longer-term positive predictability.